UCLA
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 75.1615Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Utah B12 (11- 2, 90.0) 10-43 906 A UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 23-30 912 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 10-35 927 A Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 14-17 1004 H Penn St B10 ( 7- 6, 85.2) 42-27 1011 A Michigan St B10 ( 4- 8, 74.1) 38-13 1018 H Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 74.8) 20-17 1025 A Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 6-56 1108 H Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 21-28 1115 A Ohio St B10 (12- 2, 97.9) 10-48 1122 H Washington B10 ( 8- 4, 85.6) 14-48 1129 A USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 10-29
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Utah 10-43 -33 -10 -- -4.38
906 A UNLV 23-30 -7 -6 -1.41
912 H New Mexico 10-35 -25 3 --- -16.91
927 A Northwestern 14-17 -3 -9 +++ 6.24
1004 H Penn St 42-27 15 -5 +++ 18.78
1011 A Michigan St 38-13 25 -4 +++ 18.24
1018 H Maryland 20-17 3 6 - -2.64
1025 A Indiana 6-56 -50 -30 0.00
1108 H Nebraska 21-28 -7 2 --- -9.14
1115 A Ohio St 10-48 -38 -28 0.00
1122 H Washington 14-48 -34 -5 --- -8.78
1129 A USC 10-29 -19 -18 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 912 H New Mexico 10-35 -25 3 --- -16.91 1108 H Nebraska 21-28 -7 2 --- -9.14 1122 H Washington 14-48 -34 -5 --- -8.78 830 H Utah 10-43 -33 -10 -- -4.38 1018 H Maryland 20-17 3 6 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A Northwestern 14-17 -3 -9 +++ 6.24 1004 H Penn St 42-27 15 -5 +++ 18.78 1011 A Michigan St 38-13 25 -4 +++ 18.24 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah (11- 2, 90.0) 10-43 -9.86 41.36 -5.26 1.06 -8.03
3 A UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 23-30 -24.41 26.81 5.26 1.06 -10.17
3 H New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 10-35 -22.39 28.83 -5.26 1.06 -14.69
3 A Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 14-17 -20.75 30.47 5.26 1.06 -8.23
3 H Penn St ( 7- 6, 85.2) 42-27 -14.70 36.52 -5.26 1.06 66.42
3 A Michigan St ( 4- 8, 74.1) 38-13 -25.76 25.46 5.26 1.06 65.27
3 H Maryland ( 4- 8, 74.8) 20-17 -25.12 26.10 -5.26 1.06 44.28
3 A Indiana (16- 0, 99.9) 6-56 -0.00 51.22 5.26 1.06 -2.79
3 H Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 21-28 -21.62 29.60 -5.26 1.06 -14.28
3 A Ohio St (12- 2, 97.9) 10-48 -2.01 49.21 5.26 1.06 -1.73
3 H Washington ( 8- 4, 85.6) 14-48 -14.26 36.96 -5.26 1.06 -10.37
3 A USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 10-29 -12.37 38.85 5.26 1.06 -3.78
------
101.91
|
winning pts = 175.9713 losing points = -74.0652
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------